NHL/Sharp: January 10th Early Picks

January 9, 2015 Posted in Oddstips by No Comments

Mats Zuccarello and the Rangers are the hottest team in the NHL, and we are backing them to win in San Jose Saturday night. But first a quick recap of last nights bets:

Colorado-Ottawa 2 (1×2) @ 3.00

Shot attempts were 73-29 in favor of Ottawa, but once again Varlamov stole a match for the Avs. Lost bet

Nashville-Dallas 2 (1×2) @ 3,40

We feld the Preds were made too big favorites, and despite losing this bet we stand by it. Nashville won 3-2 in OT.

Vancouver-Florida 2 (1×2) @ 3,75

The Canucks took the lead, but Florida came back to win 3-1. All in all we went 1-2 for a profit of 0,75 unit.

Saturdays picks:

Match: Minnesota Wild – Nashville Predators

Bet: 1×2

Outcome: 2

Odds: 2,60

Bookmaker: Betsson/Betsafe/NordicBet

All credit to the Wild for a great game yesterday vs Chicago. They outshot the Blackhawks 44-20, but still lost 2-4 as Backstrom allowed 3 goals on 19 shots (last goal was an empty netter).

This is very typical for the Wilds season so far. They play some good hockey, but they simply dont get good goaltending when they need it. With Josh Harding out for the season its rather obvious they dont have a number 1 goalie, and that means they are not an attractive team to back when being made favorites.

This goes especially when they are up against a quality side such as Nashville.The Predators have points in 7 in a row and 10 of 11 and are still leading the strong Central Division and they have the highest points pr game average in the entire NHL.

Meanwhile the Wild are last in the Central Division trailing Nashville by 17 points.

While we do understand that the Wild has the home ice advantage we still see the guests as the favorites to win this one and give them 42% chance of winning this win. 2.40 or higher should be tried.

Match: Colorado Avalanche – Dallas Stars

Bet: 1×2

Outcome: 2

Odds: 2,90

Bookmaker: Betsson/Betsafe/NordicBet

Once again we find good value in the underdog here.

Above we already explained how the Ottawa Senators completely outplayed the Avs last night. And now we are getting almost the same price on Dallas that are a far better team than the Sens?

We dont get it. Yes, Colorado can win this one. But they seem to only win when Varlamov is standing on his head. Granted – he does that a lot. But Colorado is not a team you want to back unless they are underdogs.

The Avs have won 2 in a row, while being outshot 45-96. That is simply not sustainable.

Meanwhile Dallas have now not won in their last 3, but we are still willing to give them a pass. OT losses in Chicago and Nashville is not bad at all, and the loss to Columbus was mainly because back up goalie Anders Lindback was in nets.

We feel the two teams latest results are misleading and both a due for a correction, leaving us with a good bet on the guests in this one. We see it as fairly even match and find value in anything above 2.70 on the Stars.

Match: San Jose Sharks – New York Rangers

Bet: 1×2

Outcome: 2

Odds: 2,85

Bookmaker: Unibet/Betsson/Betsafe/NordicBet/Bwin

Many sportsbooks agree with eachother on this one. So we might actually be in a situation where the better value will come on the Moneyline when the American Sportsbooks open for betting.

We are still going to go in early though, as we feel this is value and we dont want to risk missing out. But if you have ice in your vains you can wait to see if you can get around 2,20 on the Rangers on the ML with fx Pinnacle.

San Jose are very up and down lately. They have lost twice by a score of 2-7 to the St. Louis Blues over their last 4 matches, but in between the beat both the Wild and the Jets.

They have been suffering from playing without their – in our eyes – best player, Joe Thornton. He could be back vs the Rangers. But if he is, we are not sure he will be as good as usual, as shoulder injuries usually take a good long while to heal 100%.

Meanwhile the Rangers are impossibly hot right now. They have won 12 of 13 and seem to be so full of confidence that nothing will face them. We were especially impressed about their win in Los Angeles last night. It was a re-match of the Stanley Cup Finals and the Rangers were playing back to back with Henrik Lundqvist sitting on the bench, and they fell behind 0-2 early.

But the Rangers rallied, scored 4 in a row and eventually won 4-3, in a match that certainly looked like it would have been “okay” to lose. Its especially the power play that is clicking for the Rangers now, scoring 13 goals in their last 10 matches, after Dan Boyle has healed fully and is not the PP Quarter Back they have been lacking for years.

We give the Rangers a 37% chance of winning in regulation and also find value in +2.70 on the hottest team right now.

As of now we are not looking at any bets for Friday night, or any more for Saturday. But if that changes you will be adviced on both our and oddsavisens twitter feeds found here and here.

 

 

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